NJIT eTD: The New Jersey Institute of Technology's electronic Theses & Dissertations
Title:
Container arrivals forecasting practice and experience at marine terminals
Author:
Sideris, Alexios C.
Document Type:
Thesis
Department:
Executive Committee for the Interdisciplinary Program in Transportation
Degree:
Master of Science
Major:
Transportation
Advisory Committee:
Spasovic, Lazar
Bladikas, Athanassios K.
Chao, Xiuli
Thesis Date:
1999, January
Keywords:
Containerization.
Marine terminals..
Shipping.
Availability:
Unrestricted
Abstract:

The advent of the container traffic in maritime transportation has led during its 40-year long history to novel perceptions and operation planning requirements for the port container terminal. A major requirement in this respect refers to the efficiency of the operations in the container transfer between the different modes. The current study presents a methodology on the development of a forecasting tool to access the service demand patterns at a marine terminal on per day basis. A set of forecasting models was introduced and their implementation difficulties were explored. The main effort in this approach was to replicate the distribution of container arrivals/pick-ups before and after the scheduled voyage date of a vessel. A data-driven decision support system was developed to retrieve and to analyze the historic information captured at a major terminal of the U.S. East Coast for a period of 18-months. The evaluation of the current solution revealed a satisfactory fit of the forecasting model projections to the actually observed patterns. Due to the lack of a solid theoretical background, the approach is unfavorable to the use of applied statistical tests. In general the product should be seen as a management information system designed to assist the terminal activity planning and equipment management in conjunction with the coherent experience of the operating team.

Complete Thesis:
njit-etd1999-094 (98 pages ~ 5,093 KB pdf)
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Created May 5, 2009
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